Interest Rates Increase Stopping You From Buying A Home?

Yesterday the Federal Reserve raised short term interest rates .250% which you could see coming.  Rates increased about .250% on long term mortgages not because of the short term hike, but because of what the Federal Reserve said.  The Fed said that they are looking to raise rates 3 times next year which is why the bond market sold off and yields soared on the 10 year bond to 2.61%.  This is the highest level since December of 2013 and rates can still go higher. 

I think that this is an overreaction to what has been perceived as a growing economy with no economic growth.  The Federal Reserve said that they would raise rates 2-3 times this year when they raised rates 364 days ago, this is the first time they have raised them since!  Now they are saying that they will raise it 3 times in 2017.  Really?  Is the economy going to be that good?  I hope so, but I highly doubt it.  They are trying to forecast what will happen in the future. Nobody can predict the future and you don't know if you are right until the future becomes the past.  SO rates are a little higher.  We have had 43 months with rates in the 3's in the past 45+ years!  Believe it or not, we have also had 43 months in the 4's in the past 45+ years.  Well, the 4's are about to take the lead and the 3's could be out of the game for quite a while.  

Interest rates are just a number.  If you need to buy a house, you buys a house, if you need to sell a house, you sell a house. 

A principal and interest payment at 3.625% for a $400,000.00 loan was $1824.21 and at 4.375% it will be $1997.14.  Your payment goes up about $173 a month and you get an additional write off. 

Accept where rates are and let's make a move!  In fact, if you are worried about rates increasing further, you may want to give me a call and make the decision sooner than later and avoid any further rate hikes from the Feds in 2017.   

If you are curious about interest rates, buying or selling a home, buying an investment property or reinancing your current loan, call Mike Meena, Augusta Financial today. His cell phone number is 661-714-6258 or 661-260-2970.

Wendy Gundry

REMAX of Santa Clarita

BRE# 01250162

661-702-4767

Why Are Mortgage Interest Rates Increasing?

According to Freddie Mac's latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey, the 30-year fixed rate mortgage interest rate jumped up to 3.94% last week. Interest rates had been hovering around 3.5% since June, and many are wondering why there has been such a significant increase so quickly.

Why did rates go up?

Whenever there is a presidential election, there is uncertainty in the markets as to who will win. One way that this is noticeable is through the actions of investors. As we get closer to the first Tuesday of November, many investors pull their funds from the more volatile and less predictive stock market and instead, choose to invest in Treasury Bonds. When this happens, the interest rate on Treasury Bonds does not have to be as high to entice investors to buy them, so interest rates go down. Once the elections are over and a President has been elected, investors return to the stock market and other investments, leaving the Treasury to raise rates to make bonds more attractive again. Simply put, the better the economy, the higher interest rates will go. For a more detailed explanation of the many factors that contribute to whether interest rates go up or down, you can follow this link to Investopedia.

The Good News

Even though rates are closer to 4% than they have been in nearly 6 months, they are still slightly below where we started 2016, at 3.97%. The great news is that even at 4%, rates are still significantly lower than they have been over the last 4 decades, as you can see in the chart below.  
Any increase in interest rate will impact your monthly housing costs when you secure a mortgage to buy your home. A recent Wall Street Journal article points out that, "While still only roughly half the average over the past 45 years, according to Freddie Mac, the quick rise has lenders worried that home loans could become more expensive far sooner than anticipated." Tom Simons, a Senior Economist at Jefferies LLC, touched on another possible outcome for higher rates:

"First-time buyers look at the monthly total, at what they can afford, so if the mortgage is eaten up by a higher interest expense then there's less left over for price, for the principal. Buyers will be shopping in a lower price bracket; thus demand could shift a bit."

Bottom Line

Interest rates are impacted by many factors, and even though they have increased recently, rates would have to reach 9.1% for renting to be cheaper than buying. Rates haven't been that high since January of 1995, according to Freddie Mac.

**Top 10 Reasons To List Your House During The Holidays**

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Every year I hear from sellers that the holidays are not a good time to sell a home.  The unbelievable part is, it's one of the best times of years to make a move! 

Here are the top 10 reasons to make a move during the holidays:

1. People who are spending their time looking at property during the holidays are MOTIVATED serious buyers and are more ready to make a move!
2. Many sellers are going to wait until after the holidays to list their homes which means less competition for your home.
3. Houses "show better" when tastefully decorated for the holidays with the pretty lights and festive colors associated with the season.
4. Buyers are more emotional during the holidays and often base their decision on the warmth and good feeling they receive when viewing a home.
5. Buyers have more time to look for a house during the holidays because many people have time off from work to purchase a home.
6. Many people want to buy before the end of the year for financial and tax reasons.
7. January is traditionally the month for job transfers. Transferees can't wait until the spring to buy and these buyers need a home now.
8. Many home buyers dedicate a larger portion of their house hunting time during the holidays to searching online, but if your home is not on the market it won't be seen.
9. You can have a daily showing schedule, create blackout dates, and take calls around your holiday events .
10. Many buyers want to be in a new home for Christmas. Maybe that is your goal? A bigger home, living room, dining room for the family.

Whatever the reason you want to make a move, the holidays are a perfect time to make a move, call me today, 661-702-4767, or visit www.SellingSCVHome.com for a complete market evaluation of your home.  

***Do You Have Positive Equity In Your Home?***

CoreLogic’s latest Equity Report revealed that one million borrowers regained equity in their homes in 2015. The outlook for 2016 remains positive as well, as an additional 850,000 properties would regain equity if home prices rose another 5% this year.  The study also revealed: 95% of homes valued over $200,000 now have a positive equity position 87% of homes valued under $200,000 have entered a positive position The 11.5% growth in home equity in Q4 marked the 13th consecutive quarter of double digit gains Below is a map showing the percentage of homes with a mortgage, in each state, that have positive equity. (The states in gray have insufficient data to report.)  Significant Equity Is On The Rise Anand Nallathambi, President & CEO of CoreLogic, believes this is great news for the “long-term health of the U.S. economy.” He went on to say: “The number of homeowners with more than 20% equity is rising rapidly. Higher prices driven largely by tight supply are certainly a big reason for the rise, but continued population growth, household formation and ultralow interest rates are also factors.” Of the 91.5% of homeowners with positive equity in the US, 72.6% have significant equity (defined as more than 20%). This means that nearly three out of four homeowners with a mortgage could use the equity in their current home to purchase a new home now. The map below shows the percentage of homes with a mortgage, in each state, with significant equity. Bottom Line If you are one of the many homeowners who is unsure of how much equity you have in your home and are curious about your ability to move, click here and receive a copy of a free market evaluation of your home.

Buying A Home In Santa Clarita?

 

Here comes my prior to Spring blog post.  Same as it has been the past few years! If you haven't purchased a home what in the heck are you waiting for?!?!

With spring right around the corner, you may be wondering if you should wait to enter the housing market. Here are four great reasons to consider buying a home today instead of waiting.

1. Prices Will Continue to Rise

CoreLogic’s latest Home Price Index reports that home prices have appreciated by 6.3% over the last 12 months. The same report predicts that prices will continue to increase at a rate of 5.4% over the next year. The Home Price Expectation Survey polls a distinguished panel of over 100 economists, investment strategists, and housing market analysts. Their most recent report projects home values to appreciate by more than 3.2% a year for the next 5 years. The bottom in home prices has come and gone. Home values will continue to appreciate for years. Waiting no longer makes sense.

2. Mortgage Interest Rates Are Projected to Increase

Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey shows that interest rates for a 30-year mortgage have remained below 4%. Most experts predict that they will begin to rise over the next 12 months. The Mortgage Bankers Association, Freddie Mac & the National Association of Realtors are in unison projecting that rates will be up almost three-quarters of a percentage point by this time next year. An increase in rates will impact YOUR monthly mortgage payment. Your housing expense will be more a year from now if a mortgage is necessary to purchase your next home.

3. Either Way You Are Paying a Mortgage

As a paper from the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University explains: “Households must consume housing whether they own or rent. Not even accounting for more favorable tax treatment of owning, homeowners pay debt service to pay down their own principal while households that rent pay down the principal of a landlord plus a rate of return. That’s yet another reason owning often does—as Americans intuit—end up making more financial sense than renting.”

4. It’s Time to Move On with Your Life

The ‘cost’ of a home is determined by two major components: the price of the home and the current mortgage rate. It appears that both are on the rise. But what if they weren’t? Would you wait? Look at the actual reason you are buying and decide whether it is worth waiting. Whether you want to have a great place for your children to grow up, you want your family to be safer or you just want to have control over renovations, maybe it is time to buy.

If the right thing for you and your family is to purchase a home this year, buying sooner rather than later could lead to substantial savings.

Bottom Line

If you are ready and willing to buy, find out if you are able to. Call me today and get started!

Groundhog? No groundhog? Why You Should Sell Before Spring

 Is spring closer than we think? Depending on which Groundhog you witnessed, you may have less time than you think to get your home on the market before the busy spring season. Many sellers feel that the spring is the best time to place their home on the market as buyer demand traditionally increases at that time of year. However, the next six weeks before spring hits also have their own advantages. Here are five reasons to sell now. 

1. Demand is Strong

Foot traffic refers to the number of people out actually physically looking at homes right now. The latest foot traffic numbers show that buyers are still out in force looking for their dream home. These buyers are ready, willing and able to buy…and are in the market right now! Take advantage of the strong buyer activity currently in the market. 

2. There Is Less Competition Now

Housing supply just dropped to 1.5 months in the Santa Clarita Valley and surrounding areas, which is well under the 6 months’ supply that is needed for a normal housing market. This means, in many areas, there are not enough homes for sale to satisfy the number of buyers in that market. This is good news for home prices. However, additional inventory is about to come to market. There is a pent-up desire for many homeowners to move, as they were unable to sell over the last few years because of a negative equity situation. Homeowners are now seeing a return to positive equity as real estate values have increased over the last three years. Many of these homes will be coming to the market in the near future. Also, new construction of single-family homes is again beginning to increase. A study by Harris Poll revealed that 41% of buyers would prefer to buy a new home while only 21% prefer an existing home (38% had no preference). The choices buyers have will increase in the spring. Don’t wait until all this other inventory of homes comes to market before you sell.

3. The Process Will Be Quicker

One of the biggest challenges of the housing market has been the length of time it takes from contract to closing. Banks are requiring more and more paperwork before approving a mortgage. There is less overall business done in the winter. Therefore, the process will be less onerous than it will be in the spring. Getting your house sold and closed before the spring delays begin will lend itself to a smoother transaction.

4. There Will Never Be a Better Time to Move-Up

If you are moving up to a larger, more expensive home, consider doing it now. Prices are projected to appreciate by 5.3% over the next 12 months according to CoreLogic. If you are moving to a higher priced home, it will wind-up costing you more in raw dollars (both in down payment and mortgage payment) if you wait. You can also lock-in your 30-year housing expense with an interest rate below 4% right now. Rates are projected to rise by three-quarters of a percent by the end of 2016.

5. It’s Time to Move On with Your Life

Look at the reason you decided to sell in the first place and determine whether it is worth waiting. Is money more important than being with family? Is money more important than your health? Is money more important than having the freedom to go on with your life the way you think you should? Only you know the answers to the questions above. You have the power to take back control of the situation by putting your home on the market. Perhaps, the time has come for you and your family to move on and start living the life you desire.

That is what is truly important.

*When Is A Good Time To Rent??? NOT NOW!*

People often ask whether or not now is a good time to buy a home. No one ever asks when a good time to rent is. However, I want to make certain that everyone understands that today is NOT a good time to rent. The Census Bureau recently released their third quarter median rent numbers. Here is a graph showing rent increases from 1988 until today: A recent Wall Street Journal article reports that rents rose “faster last year than at any time since 2007, a boon for landlords but one that has stoked concerns about housing affordability for renters.”  The article also cited results from a recent Reis Inc report which revealed that average effective rents rose 4.6% in 2015, the biggest gain since before the recession. Over the past 15 years, rents have risen at a rate of 2.7% annually.

Where are rents headed?

Jonathan Smoke, Chief Economist at realtor.com recently warned that:

“Low rental vacancies and a lack of new rental construction are pushing up rents, and we expect that they’ll outpace home price appreciation in the year ahead.” 

Bottom Line

According to the WSJ article:

“In general, the higher rents go, the more difficult it will be for young people to save for down payments, making them likely to rent even longer.”

One way to protect yourself from rising rents is to lock in your housing expense by buying a home. If you are ready and willing to buy, don't hesitate to give me a call for a free confidential meeting.